Flap Your Wings to Save the World
Posted by edro on January 12, 2008
Seeding Socioeconomic Avalanches
We are identifying the initial conditions seeding the socioeconomic avalanches that could help save humanity from total extinction.
The window of opportunity is rapidly closing. In the worst case scenario, which could unfold by as early as 2012, about 20 percent of the world’s cities become unsustainable and begin to collapse. Massive waves of human migration from the affected areas create a domino effect that could cause the collapse of most of the remaining population centers. It may be too late to reverse the final outcome; however, we still have the option to change the worst case scenario!
Click on the links below to open other pages:
- Butterfly Effect
- Failing Ecosystems
- State of the World
- Future Scenarios
- First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
- The Economy
- Energy
- Food Security
- Intelligent Communities: 286W
- Initial Conditions
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[Second draft posted Sept. 21, 2007; Last Updated Jan. 12, 2008] -
Note:
1. The date “2012” is based on the dynamic model simulations analyzing the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption. The CASF Committee and Members do NOT endorse Mayan Calendar or any New Age, ancient, or bible prophecies whatever.
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winston smith said
if the subject isnt about overpopulation not worth discussing. [Poor content! Text removed. Moderator.] we are in population overshoot and not one mention of it. there is no other subject! what dont you get?
feww said
[A reply to above comment: Submitted by MIRVA, CASF Committee Member. Moderator.]
The committee members have identified Overshoot of Carrying Capacity (increased ecological footprint and “overpopulation” in “developed” countries) as a major cause of collapse. We also call for the world population to be stabilized at its current levels.
The world is in a drastic overshoot of carrying capacity in energy, material, food, clean water, and many other resources. The major cause of this overshoot is the unsustainable lifestyles of the populations in developed countries; it can hardly be blamed on the entire world population. Half the world population live on less than two dollars per day! See below for a comparison:
High income countries (GDP (PPP) per capita)
Luxembourg: $87,400
Norway: $47,098
United States: $44,765
Finland: $37,957
Canada: 36,984
Less Developed Countries
Afghanistan: $700
Malawi: $600
D.R. of Congo: $700
Brundi: $600
Liberia: $19 (2007 estimate)
Now compare the energy consumption for the same countries:
High income countries (per capita energy delivered in watts)
Luxembourg: 14,416W
Norway: 14,670W
United States: 11,383W
Finland: 8,075W
Canada: 14,582W
Less Developed Countries:
Afghanistan: 21W
Malawi: 64W
D.R. of Congo: 56W
Brundi: 40W
Liberia: 11W
MIRVA, Committee Member, CASF