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Posted by edro on April 30, 2008

Tipping Point

A confirmation of tipping point is presented in the following report by James Hansen, NASA climatologist:

Excerpts from Hansen’s report:

  • We are at the tipping point because the climate state includes large, ready positive feedbacks provided by the Arctic sea ice, the West Antarctic ice sheet, and much of Greenland’s ice.
  • Our home planet is dangerously near a tipping point at which human-made greenhouse gases reach a level where major climate changes can proceed mostly under their own momentum. Warming will shift climatic zones by intensifying the hydrologic cycle, affecting freshwater availability and human health.

Source:Tipping Point: Here and Now!

The ice in the Arctic is much younger than normal, with vast regions now covered by first-year ice and much less area covered by multiyear ice. Left: February distribution of ice by its age during normal Arctic conditions (1985-2000 average). Right: February 2008 Arctic ice age distribution. Credit: NSIDC [Caption: NASA]

Related Links:

Posted in air pollution, Arctic, atmosphere, civilization, climate, climate change, CO2, dynamics of collapse, Earth, energy, environment, extinction, future, health, HIoN, Human activities, human migration, Human-induced climate change, ice dynamics, Index of Human Impact on Nature, industrialism, lifestyle, limits to growth | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Nuking Earth for Lifestyle

Posted by edro on March 10, 2008

The Next Phase of Collapse: Wars initiated by Israel/US for Hegemony Over World’s Resources

Wars by Israel/US for hegemony over resources are about the survival of the fattest. They are fought by the urge to secure more of other peoples’ resources: More water, more food, more fertile land and more energy to maintain unsustainable lifestyles.

In the most likely scenario, as the first phase of world’s cities begin to collapse, an all-out global war would break out started by Israel and the United States that would be fought with nuclear, exotic, biological and conventional weapons.

Why would a global war break out?

  • The self-fulfilling prophecy for Israel [through US] to rule the world
  • World’s resources are dwindling (competition for the remaining finite resources is rapidly intensifying).
  • The exponential growth economy and its two leading pathogens, overproduction and overconsumption, together with unsustainable lifestyles and unethical behavior are degrading the world’s remaining resources.
  • Climate change is affecting the availability, or access to resources.
  • Global rates of consumption of water, food and energy are exponentially increasing.
  • The consumption rate has long surpassed the sustainability rate.
  • The world topsoil is falling below the critical level at which point production declines sharply.
  • Two-thirds of ecosystems are collapsing.
  • Deteriorating local resources and food insecurity, economic uncertainty and poverty, political corruption and instability, among other mechanisms of collapse, result in the collapse of cities and population centers.
  • Cities, population centers and settlements are abandoned.
  • Large-scale migrations ensue at regional, national and international levels.
  • Large numbers of migrants put additional terminal strain on the remaining resources.
  • Nations outstrip nature’s carrying capacity.
  • Civil conflict and war break out.

Original Photo: The mushroom cloud from XX-11 IvyMike (Fusion Bomb). Public domain photo.
Source: United States Department of Energy
Inset: Tomahawk Block IV Cruise Missiles

Types of Resource Wars

  • Regional Conflict
  • Civil War
  • Border (interstate) War
  • Global [nuclear] War

Hiroshima after the atom bomb. [Today’s much more powerful bombs
would robably detroy the remaining infrastructure such as the bridges.]

Nagasaki after the nuclear bomb codenamed “Fat Man”
(after Winston Churchill) was dropped on her in 1945.

More than 100,000 victims killed in large air attack on Tokyo:
234 B-29 bombers dropped 1665 tons of incendiary bombs.

Source: Wikimedia Commons

The Most Likely Strategies

  1. Form objective-driven alliances. [The traditional military alignments would no longer apply, as survival alone would dictate offensive and defensive strategies.]
  2. Depopulate primary targets to minimize resistance.
  3. Launch preemptive strikes employing overwhelming force (first strike) against the opponents (rivals nations competing for the same resources).
  4. Attack both military (counterforce) targets, to weaken enemy retaliation, and civilian (countervalue) targets to maximize strike [kill] value.

The MGM-140 ATACMS tactical ballistic missile firing. Public Domain Photo: Wikipedia

Primary Targets

Primary targets are selected according to the

  • Availability of resources: Water, wild food, land (agricultural and forest), Energy (Fossil fuels and other available resources.)
  • Content value: Amount of the available resources
  • Vulnerability metrics: The ease by which the target can be depopulated and re-occupied.

Table NE1. The Primary Targets

Public Domain Photo: USAF/Dept of Defense
MGM-118A Peacekeeper
(!) nuclear missile

See also: Enewetak atomic detonations

Table EN2a. The Players
‘GL’ denotes Global.
2. CO: Continental.
IS: Interstate (cross border).

For full list of The Players click here: Table EN2b

A Minuteman III ICBM test launch from Vandenberg AFB, California, United States.
Source: Wikimedia Commons

Table EN3. Secondary Targets

Trident missile launch at sea from a UK submarine. Source: Wikimedia Commons

The Hotspots

‘Hotspots’ are considered to be the countries, regions or areas that are worst affected by water scarcity, food or energy shortages, degraded land, and the corresponding political instability created as a result of those conditions, as well as those areas that are considered to be primary or secondary targets because of their relative abundance of natural resources.

Our data analysis show that within a short time global list of countries facing a high risk of political instability and danger of armed conflict resulting from dwindling resources, which would be exacerbated by the adverse effects of climate change, would grow rapidly leaving very few places, if any, temporarily unaffected.

List of Nuclear Weapons [Incomplete]

Posted in cruise missile, ICBM, lifestyle, limits to growth, natural resources, resource wars | Tagged: , , , | 44 Comments »