Seeding Socioeconomic Avalanches! [Hacked by WordPress; filtered by Google!]

‘C’ for the Economy’s Carbon Cycle

Posted by edro on February 22, 2009

‘C’ for the Economy’s Carbon Cycle [Boosted by Bailouts and Stimulus Plan]

Thought for the Day: The Depth of Human Intelligence!

The most intelligent species on earth, human, in its quest for the total subjugation of nature has created the ultimate conundrum:

1. He measures his livelihood gains by the strength of the GDP, and his ills by the size of carbon footprint.

2. The larger the GDP, however, the bigger the carbon footprint!


‘C’ for the Economy’s Carbon Cycle [Boosted by the Bailouts and Stimulus Plan.] Credit: CASF. Insets used to build image may be subject to copyright.

[Note: To produce a GDP of 65.17 trillion (International Dollars), the world economies emitted about 10.38 billion metric tons of carbon [~38.06 billion tons of CO2.] That is, for every dollar paid (or received) each time in 2007 an average of about 160 grams of carbon, or 584 g of CO2 were released to the environment!]

Related Links:


Posted in Bailout, Carbon Footprint of Your Dollar, homo sapiens, Human Intelligence!, Stimulus Plan | Tagged: , , , , | 10 Comments »

2009: A Year of More and Less

Posted by edro on February 18, 2009

A Brief Forecast For the Year Ahead

2009 may be remembered as a year of more extremes of climate and weather: More drought and more deluge, with less food and less clean water available globally than the previous years.

Global Fire Maps.
For details and credits see MODIS Rapid Response System

Our colleagues at MSRB believe that poultry, hog and cattle producers would cut production in 2009 to soften the blow of  rising feed costs. With less meat on the retail market the prices would rise higher.

2009 will see more people out of job, and with less food available globally at higher prices, food riots could break out throughout the world.

Civil conflicts could erupt in a dozen countries. In the United States seeds of large-scale civil unrests would be sown. Job riots could plague China, U.S., Europe and other countries.

Several embryos of a terminal global war have already been developed and implanted in multiple socioeconomic and geopolitical ‘uteruses.’

The 2009 Atlantic hurricane season will be somewhat more active than the average 1950-2000 season, according to Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University.

They estimate that 2009 will have 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 14 named storms (average is 9.6), 70 named storm days (average is 49.1), 30 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 7 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0).

Our Colleagues at FEWW forecast more earthquakes and more volcanic unrest throughout 2009 and beyond. There could be as much as 37 percent more earthquakes in the United States in 2009, some in areas that are not prone to earthquakes. A magnitude MW 7.9 or larger quake could strike close to Anchorage.

FEWW team also believe 2008/9 may be heralding the beginning of a new period of intense global volcanic unrest.

Continued …

280 words, 1 image

Posted in Atlantic hurricane season, Civil conflicts, climate refugees, earthquakes, volcanic unrest | Tagged: , , , , | 3 Comments »

One Step Away From Collapse

Posted by edro on February 17, 2009

Civilizations are and have always been just a step away from collapse

According to the following news item, generation-long droughts in Indochina led to the collapse of Angkor, an advanced civilization that occupied the modern-day Cambodia, about 700 years ago.

Another long spell of drought in the mid-18th century caused the collapse of all kingdoms in Southeast Asia including Laos, Thailand and Vietnam.

Killer droughts recorded on tree rings


Fokienia hodginsii can reach 30 m in height and up to 2.2 m in diameter on flat land. © Andrei Kuznetsov [Large-scale logging has resulted in the species disappearing or becoming scarce in parts of its range, notably in northern Viet Nam and southern China. 2008 IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.]

Researchers from the United States and Japan have discovered  details of generation-long  droughts in Indochina going as far back as 700 years by studying tree ring core samples from Fokienia hodginsii, a rare species of ancient conifers that grows in Vietnam’s cloud forests, Reuters reported.

They discovered two persistent drought periods  in the early 1400s, which coincided with the collapse of the large and wealthy Angkor civilization in what is now Cambodia.

“There was a very significant multi-decadal drought in the early 1400s with the worst drought year being 1417,” said Brendan Buckley of the Tree Ring Laboratory at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in the United States.

A third major drought lasting at least 30 years occurred in the mid-18th century, said Buckley, who worked with Masaki Sano and Tatsuo Sweda of Ehime University of Japan studying the tree rings of Fokienia.

“All of the kingdoms in Southeast Asia collapsed, in Thailand, Vietnam and Laos between 1750-80,” he said.

“The research is helping unravel the complexity of the annual monsoon that usually begins during March-May and on which millions rely to grow crops, particularly rice in the Mekong Delta. It could also help understand how climate change could affect the densely populated region and its economies.” Reuters reported.

“Buckley said the chronology constructed from  36 conifer trees found in a national park near Dalat showed a strong correlation between dry spells and the El Nino weather pattern that typically brings drought to Southeast Asia and eastern Australia.”

“It’s an amazing site, really, so it’s a real breakthrough in tropical tree ring studies,” he said.

“Fokienia is an exceptional tree species because of the way it grows and responds to drought,” he said, adding the data was corroborated with a lot of historical records, such as ancient lanna palm leaf texts from Thailand and accounts of foreign merchants, plus tree-ring data from teak trees in Thailand.

“What the Fokienia trees are most keenly tuned into is the length of the monsoon. Longer the monsoon, the trees grow more.”

D2 —> D4 =  Collapse of a Civilization

The relationship is simple:

  • No water =  Drought
  • Too much water =  Floods [Deluge]
  • Drought and Deluge =   NO Crops [food]
  • No Crops = Famine
  • Famine = Divergence + Displacement + Death + Disease [leading to more death]
  • D2 —> D4 =  Collapse of  Civilization

Related Links:

W: 510, I: 1; L: 4

Posted in 4D, desertification, El Nino, famine, Loss of topsoil, monsoon | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Why Bailout-Stimulus Plan Won’t Work

Posted by edro on January 27, 2009

Sent by a CASF Member

The end of an era that never was!

A dramatic shift is breaking through, but the government is inviting everyone to a doll party playing with Monopoly money!

1. The perception of world model is rapidly changing from an apparent abstraction to a palpable reality. A period of extravagance is giving way to a time of conservation;  follies  of  boundless growth and infinite abundance are erased by the realizations of limitation and finiteness of resources.

2. The vehicle of change is accelerating humans’ awareness of its ecological impact, shifting from a ‘remote control’ mode to a ‘hands-on’ situation. A glaring contrast between the concentration of monetary wealth and control of resources, on the one side,  and the perceived right to ‘have,’ on the other, is setting the stage for regional, national and global conflict.

3. Radical measures are vitally needed to prevent climatic and socioeconomic catastrophes [listed in alphabetic order] and to protect planet’s natural resources from further depletion and erosion.

4. Instead, more of the same mistakes are repeated. What is prescribed is more money for the rich, who can’t believe their luck. Whereas it took the predatory private banking system much deliberation and many months, even years of plotting to steal a billion dollars from the public coffers previously, it now takes a mere few weeks to steal $350billion, and do so with the Executive and Legislature blessings.

5. How does the government stop the daylight highway robbery? Certainly not through nationalization of banks and ‘radicalization’ of the runaway economy (!) No,  they would give so much more Monopoly money to the thieves [banks and banksters,  corporations and their nominees,] until such time that the thieves are probably too embarrassed to steal anymore.

6. That way both the Executive and the Legislature remain popular and continue to be liked by the Captain Hooks of the ‘economy.’ It’s a win-win situation. No one gets hurt except of course the taxpayers, their children and grandchildren. But who gives a damn about the populace?

7. The bailout-stimulus-Wall-Street-Monopoly-money plan won’t work, because the causes of the economic failure are left untouched. The dynamics of collapse remain in place, glaringly obvious. At best, the plan may work for just weeks, perhaps a few months, if the administration is ‘lucky.’

8. But that’s okay because everyone is just trying to buy a little more time. Who knows, maybe China is struck by another, even bigger earthquake, or a deadly disease epidemic that decimates its population. A civil war anyone? A severe drought in India could obliterate 80 percent of its population. Brazil, nay most of South America,  could be buried under giant mudslides.  Europe could freeze up. A little ice-age could reverse the climate change. New sources of green energy could be found. Pigs could glide in the air instead of flying on biofuel blends.

9. What exactly is there to worry about?  We don’t even have to change our lifestyles. Why should we? Right? Wrong!

10. Insisting on the attempt to revive the old economy’s  corpse will almost certainly end in failure. Regional and national conflict would erupt. A till-the-last-man-stands global war could be fought  over access to the dwindling energy and other natural resources, regardless of the deadly consequences for all sides. The prospect of this deadly scenario is becoming increasingly more probable.

11. Regardless of the ten-trillion-dollar bailout-stimulus-Wall-Street-Monopoly-money plan [that’s what the intermediate bill would probably amount to,] there would be NO prospect for long-term US/World  security, unless:

  • The economic system is ‘radicalized’
  • Wall Street is closed down
  • Federal Reserve system is abolished [and replaced with a nationalized central bank system]
  • The banks are nationalized [This would be a first step to making money sterile. Money has been allowed to have reproductive organs and as a result it has caught terminal social disease.]
  • The recovery plan’s monetary price tag and therefore its astronomical, toxic carbon footprint is removed.
  • Profit-taking is replaced by care-giving
  • Stealing from public coffers becomes a capital offense
  • Moneychangers are put behind bars [permanently]
  • The United States [and consequently ROW] is deglobalized
  • The US [and consequently ROW] is demilitarized
  • Commerce and industrial activity are localized
  • A number of other vital, remedial changes are effected

12. A ‘revival’ may be possible only after the large holes through which the patient is bleeding to death have been sutured, and a non-toxic remedy is applied.

13. Here’s the last chance America and rest of the world have: To Do or Die!

Related Links:

772 words, 13 paragraphs, 8 links, 1×12 bullet

Posted in banks, Legislature, Moneychangers, natural resources, US Economy | Tagged: , , , , | 13 Comments »

How Much Can a Single Natural Event Affect You?

Posted by edro on December 26, 2008

How prepared are you for human enhanced natural events?

Cyclone Nargis – May 2, 2008

Cyclone Nargis (also called Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Nargis), a strong tropical cyclone, struck Myanmar on May 2, 2008, causing catastrophic destruction, killing  at least 146,000 people with thousands more still missing.  [Independent sources estimate the number of fatalities at more than 1 million.]

Foreign aid workers estimate that about 3 million people severely affected and were made homeless. According to a study,  up to 3.2 million Burmese lost their homes as a result of Nargis.

Percentage of the population affected by Cyclone Nargis: ~ 6.6% of Myanmar’s population

[Note: Population of Myanmar is about 48,798,000]

Sichuan Earthquake – May 12, 2008

The quake toll according to USGS:

  • Death toll: At least 69,185 people were killed.
  • No injuries: 374,171 people were injured.
  • Other: 18,467 missing and presumed dead in the Chengdu-Lixian-Guangyuan area.
  • More than 45.5 million people in 10 provinces and regions were affected.
  • At least 15 million people were evacuated from their homes.
  • More than 5 million were left homeless.
  • An estimated 5.36 million buildings collapsed.
  • More than 21 million buildings were damaged in Sichuan and in parts of Chongqing, Gansu, Hubei, Shaanxi and Yunnan.

Percentage of the population affected by Sichuan quake: 3.41% of China population

[Note: Population of China is about 1,335,530,000 or 19.8% of the world population.]

As one of the coldest winters on record looms over Sichuan, more than 1 million families displaced by the May 12 earthquake are still without proper homes, a senior provincial official said on Friday. China Daily. A home-bound migrant worker from Sichuan carries her child in a railway station in Shenyang, Liaoning province on Friday, after failing to find a job in the city. Many people displaced by the May 12 earthquake have left their hometowns in search of work. [Agencies] Image may be subject to copyright.


Floods leave 2.5% of Colombia’s population homeless

Posted in colombia, floods, landslides, Myanmar, population toll | Tagged: , , , , | 6 Comments »

Obama Inauguration Carbon Footprint

Posted by edro on December 16, 2008

U.S. President-elect Barack Obama insists on the need to develop new forms of energy

“In the 21st century, we know that the future of our economy and national security is inextricably linked with one challenge: energy,” Obama told a news conference. “All of us know the problems that are rooted in our addiction to foreign oil. It constrains our economy, shifts wealth to hostile regimes and leaves us dependent on unstable regions.”

“To control our own destiny, America must develop new forms of energy and new ways of using it. And this is not a challenge for government alone— it’s a challenge for all of us.”

What about Climate Change Mr President-elect?

“We will make decisions based on the facts, and we understand that facts demand bold action,” Obama said.

What about the carbon footprint of your inauguration?

The President-elect forgot to mention that Disa orchids will be flown in for his inauguration from New Zealand within 24 hours of being picked!

The total bill for Mr Obama’s inauguration, including cost of the security, which will be paid by the taxpayers,  will probably exceed the $160million [Figure revised according to the media estimates on January 20, 2009.] At a global average of  584g of CO2/GDP dollar, the inauguration carbon footprint on cost basis alone would be 93,400 metric tons [MT] of CO2.

[But, hey, that’s nothing compared with the trillion-dollar bailouts being handed out to any bank/corporation large enough to blackmail the state!]

As for the additional CO2 created by an estimated 2 million people swarming Washington DC for the ceremony, add another 44,000 MT. By January 21, 2009, the inauguration carbon footprint will have exceeded 137,400 MT of CO2.

U.S. President-elect [do as I say, don’t worry about what I do] Barack Obama looks on as Steven Chu, director of Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, speaks after being introduced as Obama’s Energy Secretary during a news conference in Chicago, December 15, 2008. Obama also named former Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) chief Carol Browner (R) to head a new council to coordinate White House energy, climate and environment policies, and Lisa Jackson (2nd-R), chief of staff for New Jersey’s governor, to run the EPA. REUTERS/Stephen J. Carrera. Image may be subject to copyright.

Ordering orchids from New Zealand for the presidential inauguration is a callous disregard for the environment; it also rates high, “Scale F,” on the Adolescents Social Insensitivity scale


– The Millon Clinical Multiaxial Inventory-III (MCMI-III)

– The Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) – [published by the American Psychiatric Association]

– The mental disorders section, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD)

Related Links:

Posted in air pollution, CO2, new zealand, Social Insensitivity, Steven Chu | Tagged: , , , , | 10 Comments »

Earth’s Human Induced Antiphase Nears Completion

Posted by edro on December 10, 2008

Human-induced planetary antiphase is entering its final stages

About 99.98 percent of human effort goes to debilitate the ecosystems. In other words, for every single step taken to restore the natural life support services, humans take 6,400 steps in the opposite direction, destroying the planet’s ability to maintain life.

What’s the Earth’s Antiphase?

A brief definition: Antiphase is the condition in which the planet’s life support systems switch at various thresholds from their normal, functioning states to dysfunctional, hostile and destructive modes through  Positive Feedback and Collapse.

Planet Earth approaches the final stages of human-induced antiphase.

Some of the services provided by Earth’s ecosystem are withdrawn due to the collapse of those systems, while other services switch in the antiphase to become hazardous forces.

In the final stages of the antiphase the services provided by the air, water and soil will no longer be available, at least not to their full extent. Instead the poisonous, polluted  air will pose  serious threats to our health by way of causing respiratory and blood diseases, and to our survival by way of accelerating climate change.

The water pollution will jeopardize our well being through water-borne diseases, while water scarcity could lead to regional, and continental wars.

The water cycle will be disrupted phenomenally.  Extended droughts throughout the globe will affect our food supplies causing land erosion, crop failure and famine, while extreme rain events which trigger flooding and mudslides, which would destroy most of our remaining fertile lands, both events ending in more human displacement, regional conflicts and wars.

In the antiphase, the rising sea levels will inundate more of our coastal towns, dramatically increasing the numbers of climate refugees. Food and water scarcity will lead to violence, riots and civil wars.

Antiphase will turn our oceans from being the source of life to acidified, putrid cesspools of pollution and death.

The antiphase will rapidly transform humans into vicious animals, fighting each other for water, food, fuel, land and all other dwindling natural resources. The fighting, in turn, enhances the positive feedbacks, accelerating the downward spiral toward collapse.

When the cost of maintaining human species exceeds the planetary budget, and about 80 percent of the earth’s natural capital has been depleted, human species would be committed to extinction.

The antiphase is now entering its final stages of completion. [But it can be stopped by massive global action that must be taken immediately.]

Related Links:

Posted in accelerating climate change, natural capital, planetary budget, positive feedback, species extinction | Tagged: , , , , | 20 Comments »

Google: The 21st Century Thought Police

Posted by edro on December 9, 2008

It’s unacceptable for an advertising  corporation to control the world’s flow of information

Google Must Go!


“With Google at the top of the information food chain, Internet community has less rights to unofficial political information than did the Soviets/Russians under the KGB.

“This can only happen in Google’s AMERIKA!

Related Links:

Posted in advertising corporation, blogging, Conspiracy Against the Public, information food chain, Internet community | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

When Will Food Riots Break Out Across the U.S.?

Posted by edro on November 25, 2008

See main Entry at >> The Land of Plenty [of hungry people]

Loss of topsoil, land degradation and desertification are global phenomena, which are rapidly destroying our ability to feed the world population

Unless comprehensive action is taken globally to stop the deadly trends, food riots will be commonplace throughout the world in the very near future.

Severely degraded land. Photo: Unesco. Image may be subject to copyright.

Related Links:

Posted in climate change, energy, future, lifestyle, Loss of topsoil | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Desertification: A Most Powerful Mechanism of Collapse

Posted by edro on November 22, 2008

About 35 % of China’s agricultural land is affected by desertification

The world must help China reverse its collapse feedback!

See News Entry >> China’s Topsoil Nightmare Is Real

Dead/withered trees near the Minqin oasis caused by falling level of groundwater. Photo Credit: Benoit Aquin, The Walrus. Image may be subject to copyright. Click here for photo album.

Related Links:

Posted in food production, land degradation, Mechanism of Collapse, traditional agriculture, Wild Facts | Tagged: , , , , | 3 Comments »

Image of the Day: Hong Kong Skyline at Night

Posted by edro on November 17, 2008

Hong Kong: Facing an Increasingly Uncertain Future

Hong Kong may be among the world’s first Megapolises to experience a total collapse

The night skyline of Hong Kong, Victoria Harbour and Kowloon
, as seen from Victoria Peak, the tallest mountain on Hong Kong Island. With a population of more than 7 million, HK is one of the most densely populated areas in the world. Author: Diliff. Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.

Related Links:

Posted in energy, environment, future, lifestyle, pollution | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

A Most Powerful Mechanism of Collapse

Posted by edro on November 4, 2008

A Most Powerful Mechanism of Collapse:
The Loss of Will to Live

Pawning the Last Valuable Possession

The will to live is the ultimate human phenomenon maintained by a fine balance between the four interrelated elements:

  • Health of the environment
  • Physical and mental well being
  • Nature’s supplies and services
  • Societal vigor


As the demands on nature multiply,  the environment progressively deteriorates and civilization becomes increasingly dysfunctional, the balance exponentially declines and the future of human species, entirely by their own making, becomes rapidly bleaker.

What future is there for a dying addict who has pawned his last item of value, craving  only for one last strong fix?

Related Links:

Posted in exponential growth, G20, nature's services, nexus of life, societal vigor | Tagged: , , , , | 13 Comments »

Zeitgeist Movie

Posted by edro on October 22, 2008

Zeitgeist Movie

Apart from the idealistic vision of the future blended in by the Venus Project, rather similar to The Jetsons futuristic utopia, and bearing in mind that the presentation lacks ecological reality including limits to growth and energy consumption, a lot of useful information on this video make for an interesting watch!

Related Links:

Posted in banking fraud, corrupt system, debt, futuristic utopia, monetary system | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

The Deadly Dozen Diseases

Posted by edro on October 8, 2008

The “Deadly Dozen” Fits into the Collapse Jigsaw!

WCS has identified 12 deadly pathogens that could spread into new regions aided by climate change

A report by Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS), released on October 7, lists 12 deadly pathogens that could spread globally as a result of climate change affecting the wildlife, which could then jump species barrier to infect and spread among humans. (Source)

The deadly diseases are:

  • Avian influenza
  • Babesia
  • Cholera
  • Ebola
  • Intestinal and external parasites
  • Lyme disease
  • Plague
  • Red tides
  • Rift Valley fever
  • Sleeping sickness (trypanosomiasis)
  • Tuberculosis
  • Yellow fever

The Dynamics of Collapse

Three major causes of global collapse triggered by the first wave of the world’s collapsing cities, which were previously listed in EDRO’s Dynamics of Collapse, include the “deadly dozen” diseases in the WCS list:

  • Spread of pandemic diseases
  • Foodborne, waterborne, airborne and insectborne infectious diseases (viral, bacterial, parasitic, fungal, prion)
  • Epidemics of plant and animal diseases

Related Links:

Posted in dynamics of collapse, Ebola, Lyme disease, Red tides | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Six of the Reasons Why California Faces a Major Crash

Posted by edro on September 29, 2008

submitted by a CASF Member

California Accelerating To Major Crash!

1. Exponential Growth Economy. California, a subset of planet Earth [really!] is a finite entity with finite resources. The blind, brainless monster of exponential growth economy, a creature of the US political economy and Calif politics, demands infinite resources, especially energy, and services, especially carbon sinks, to continue its malignant growth. Whether Calif is governed by Arnold Schwarzenegger or a super-intelligent android back from the future, it makes very little difference in the ultimate outcome—a major crash.

2. Centralization. As the rate of increase in the complexity of Calif socioeconomic “model” [therefore its governance and decision-making processes] accelerates, the region becomes more vulnerable and susceptible to violent oscillations against even the slightest of changes in its “equilibrium state.” [Visualize the chaos that would occur on a crowded, fast-moving 8-lane highway, when a single vehicle goes out of control.]

3. Complexity. The disastrous impact of hurricane Ike on the power grid earlier this month,  which left up to 5 million people without power, was a stark remainder and yet another a wake-up call to how complex systems, the centralized power grid, could collapse “suddenly” and  with disastrous consequences. There will be many more instances of systems collapses, some more paralyzing than the others, in the country, especially in those states that are burdened with higher levels of socioeconomic complexity, in the coming weeks, months and years.

4. Information flow. To identify the exact nature of problems that beset a complex system, build an accurate picture of interconnectivity that exists between those issues, and create long term [syn: sustainable] applicable solutions, the decision-makers require:

  • Accurate, detailed, up-to-date information – currently NOT supplied!
  • Thorough knowledge of how each component of the system works – presently NOT available!
  • Deep understanding of how those components operate [or don’t operate] in interconnection [syn: unison] – NOT on the menu, right now!

5. Personal stake, 2nd-home mentality. The decision-makers must understand the consequences of a major crash [societal or ecological.] When a major crash occurs in any country, or large geopolitical region, there would absolutely be no guarantee of containment. The knock-on effect of any major crash [or multiple smaller crashes] would render futile most “survival insurance plans,” for example, 2nd homes, or hideaway cabins in less populated states, or in “safer” countries.

6. Radical Changes. Desperate problems require “radical” solutions. California suffers from socioeconomic gangrene. Cosmetic dressing only hides symptoms of the disease temporarily, but delaying the cure will kill the patient. Unfortunately, deep-seated fundamental changes to save the community of life are not allowed at the expense of GDP growth .

Original Entry:

Related News Links:

Related Links:

Posted in 2nd-home mentality, calif, collapsing cities, Intelligent Communities, radical economy, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »