Posted by edro on July 6, 2012
The following post is reprinted with the permission of Fire-Earth Blog
Posted by feww on July 4, 2012
Tidal Surge of Global Change 26 Times Faster in 21st Century: FIRE-EARTH
FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 26 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.
FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity that is caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, leading to a total collapse.
Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background
Posted in Collapse, collapse mechanisms, collapsing cities | Tagged: anthropogenic impact, collapase index, drought and deluge, Emerging dominant mechanisms of collapse, global collapse, human impact, Mechanisms of Collapse | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on April 14, 2011
EDRO Models: Mass Die-Offs Looming
Energy Models show large scale die-offs occurring by 2016
Dynamic simulations are consistent with the rate at which nature’s warnings are intensifying.
The warnings are becoming more direct and less ambiguous. Nature seems to be focusing more intensely on certain mechanisms to defend herself. See The Dynamics of Collapse.
The Earth is fighting to stay alive. IF she loses the fight we would all die!
Latest Probable Episodes
JPTRMT1 – Megathrust earthquakes are forecast to strike Japan Region releasing megabursts of energy, a total of about 80EJ of energy by 2016. See Forecast.
The Next Phase of Collapse: Global Wars for Hegemony Over World’s Resources. See Nuking Earth for Lifestyle
U.S., the world, stake the future on high-energy strategies. Energy models’ simulations show all such strategies ending in collapse.
The first wave of collapse of world cities would be caused by a combination of failing ecosystems, human-enhanced environmental catastrophes; failing infrastructure; food, water and fuel shortages; infectious disease; war, civil conflict and other dynamics. Following the first phase of collapse, massive waves of human migration from the affected areas create a domino effect that causes the collapse of the remaining population centers shortly after.
In 2010, FIRE-EARTH said; In line with its concept of ‘Shrinking World,’ and based on simulations of FEWW EarthModel and EDRO Energy Models, Fire-Earth Moderators believe at least one disaster could strike somewhere on the planet each day, throughout 2010. The outlook for 2011 and beyond …
Global Disasters in 2011 Could Impact 1/3 to 1/2 of the Human Population.
The impact of anthropogenic and human-enhanced natural disasters on the population will be 600 percent more severe in 2011 compared with 2010: Fire-Earth Forecast
Nearly all of the anthropogenic and human-enhanced disasters that will occur on the planet in the 2011-2012 period would have been preventable.
However, Humans continued to devour energy at a rate of 17.3terrawatt in 2011, when maximum ‘safe’ limit was less than 1.9terrawatt.
Based on their research, EDRO Moderators Have concluded that a series of man-made cataclysms will drive the earth’s population to near extinction.
UPDATED April 16, 2011
Posted in 6th Great Extinction, die-offs, energy dinosaurs | Tagged: desertification, drought and deluge, floods, Landslide, Mechanisms of Collapse, Nature's Warnings, storms | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on October 6, 2009
Drought, Hunger and Destitution Are Driving East Africa to the Verge of Collapse
Severe drought threatens 23 million east Africans in seven countries
More than 23 million people in 7 countries in East Africa including the worst affected nations of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia and Uganda, face starvation amid a 2-year drought.
“The Ethiopian government puts the number in need at 5.3 million. Pastoralist communities in the country’s southern Borena area have been particularly hard hit by the lack of rain.” Reuters reported.
“Some 6.2 million Ethiopians hit by two-year recurrent drought are facing starvation and need emergency assistance,” a charity organization spokeswoman told Reuters.
Floods triggered by more than a week of heavy rains have left 2.5 million Indians homeless.The flooding, described as the worst in living memory, has killed more than 250 people in south India, in the states of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, and
More than five million people have taken shelter at temporary government relief centers.
Millions of hectares of cropland, including sugarcane plantations have been flooded by torrential rains, prompting worries about a fall in sugar output in Karnataka, one of the country’s top three producers.
An estimated one million people have been severely affected after Tropical Storm Ketsana (locally known as Ondoy) triggered epic flooding in the Philippines.
The storm brought in sever rains and caused the worst flooding in living memory, leaving 80 to 90 percent of Manila completely submerged in floodwater. The official death toll stands at about 300, with another 50 or so missing. The worst problems in the affected areas are
- Access to Food and medicine
- Disruptions in the supply of power and telecommunications
- Shortages of drinking water
- Sanitation concerns and threat of supply shortages
Meanwhile, 60,000 people have been affected as a result of flooding and landslides caused by storm Ketsana, with about 20 deaths including a pregnant woman and up to 100 injuries including 20 serious cases and up to 50,000 hectares of crops and rice fields destroyed by flood waters.
According to a report by an aid organization, some 1,519 houses, 55 public buildings, 160 irrigation systems, channels, dams, embankments, 40 km of roads and 3 bridges were damaged, or destroyed, causing major disruptions throughout the flooded areas.
Posted in Andhra Pradesh flooding, Borena drought, Cambodia flooding, desertification, food shortages, hunger in east africa, Karnataka flooding, Karnataka sugar output, Ketsana death toll, ketsana land slides, Manila flooding, mud slides, Ondoy storm, Tropical Storm Ketsana | Tagged: climate change, drought and deluge, East Africa, East Africa drought, Ethiopia, Ethiopia drought, Kenya drought, Somalia drought, Uganda drought | 1 Comment »