Posted by edro on June 8, 2014
UDCCpf’s daily ‘podcasts’ are available to CJ Members, selected CASF members and authorized individuals only.
The Channel will be operated jointly by EDRO and FIRE-EARTH.
Related Links
Posted in energy, environment, future | Tagged: 8 June 2014, CJ Members, Disaster Forecast, FIRE-EARTH, Information, News, Super Secure Channel, UDCC | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on September 23, 2013
Posted in First Wave of World Collapsing Cities | Tagged: Fire-Earth Blog, global disaster alerts, global disasters, golobal collapse | 1 Comment »
Posted by edro on July 6, 2012
WARNING: RAPID CHANGE IN PROGRESS!
Posted by feww on July 4, 2012
Tidal Surge of Global Change 26 Times Faster in 21st Century: FIRE-EARTH
FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 26 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.
FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity that is caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, leading to a total collapse.
Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background
Posted in Collapse, collapse mechanisms, collapsing cities | Tagged: anthropogenic impact, collapase index, drought and deluge, Emerging dominant mechanisms of collapse, global collapse, human impact, Mechanisms of Collapse | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on May 31, 2012
Based on their models, FIRE-EARTH Moderators have posted the following forecast:
FIRE-EARTH FORECAST: The rate of Japan’s collapse to intensify.
- Current: 0.067
- Forecast: 0.083
- EHC: 0.117
Related Links
Posted in collapse mechanisms, collapsing cities, collapsing ecosystems, dynamics of collapse, earth's defense mechanisms, Effective World Population, environmental health, Mechanisms of Collapse, Nature’s defense mechanisms | Tagged: Collapse of Japan, FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, First Wave of Collapse, First Wave of Collapsing Cities, Japan's collapse | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on July 25, 2011
Of a half dozen or so probable future scenarios beyond 2015, as simulated by EDRO models, none would include Corporate America.
NO future is possible under the current economic, monetary, business and sociopolitical systems.
The current systems will collapse within the next 4 years, causing the violent death of the corporations in the U.S. and rest of the world.
Related Links:
Posted in 6th Great Extinction | Tagged: collapsing cities, Corporate America, energy dinosaurs, monetary system, Nature Warnings, The 6th Great Extinction, U.S. Corporations | 2 Comments »
Posted by edro on July 3, 2010
The Moderators confirm that the timeline and speed of collapse are consistent with their earlier forecast.
Related Links:
Posted in Collapse, collapse mechanisms, collapsing cities, Human-Enhanced Disasters | Tagged: 6th Great Extinction, collapsing cities, First Wave of Collapsing Cities, First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on May 23, 2010
Based on their research, EDRO Moderators Have concluded that a series of man-made cataclysms will drive the earth’s population to near extinction.
[This section was removed to ensure NO association WHATEVER could be made with “Rapture apocalypse prediction.”]
Most of the ‘survivors’ would be highly evolved, ethical and altruistic humans with the ability to overcome the immense difficulties they will have inherited . . .
Nevertheless, the Moderators believe by identifying the major man-made obstacles that stand in the way, they could, for their part, help to keep the flow of life on this planet uninterrupted.
EDRO Moderators
For background to the planetary collapse, search blog contents. Future information will be provided at this site OR at one of the following cites:
http://feww.wordpress.com/
http://msrb.wordpress.com/
http://rtsf.wordpress.com/
Posted in collapse mechanisms, collapsing cities, collapsing ecosystems, energy dinosaurs | Tagged: 6th Great Extinction, man-made cataclysms, Planetary collapse, sixth Great Extinction | 12 Comments »
Posted by edro on March 18, 2010
China and India made “giant strides”in their housing efforts to relocate nearly a quarter of billion people out of the slums, UN Habitat agency reported.
The housing efforts were canceled out, however, by global population growth and the rural migration to cities, the report said.
Here are some of the stats:
Note: Actual numbers of the slum dwellers are much larger, unless people could live in decent accommodations on less than $1.25 per day. It appears that the report used the old figures instead of the newer revised figures. “International Comparison Program’s new poverty estimates released in August 2008 show that about 1.4 billion people in the developing world (one in four) were living on less than $1.25 a day in 2005,” World Bank reported.
EDRO estimate for the number of people living on less than$1.25 per day: 2.2 billion (nearly 1 in 3 globally).
A Mumbai slum (India). Image may be subject to copyright.
UN defines a dwelling as a slum if at least one of the five factors below applies:
Related Links:
Posted in 286W, Dharavi, migration to cities, poverty, poverty in India | Tagged: $1.25 per day, population growth, povert in china, rural migration, Slums, UN Habitat agency | Leave a Comment »
Posted by edro on February 23, 2010
Philippines farmlands are drying up in the intense heat; there’s no rain in sight. The El Niño has affected about 160,000 hectares (ha) of farmland in the country, destroying more than 200,000 MT of crops including palay, rice and corn.
“Below normal rainfall is threatening some 42,000 hectares of rice paddies in the region, with 11,000 already beyond recovery and another 21,250 damaged. The dry spell has also affected corn crops in other areas.” FEWW said.
To ensure food security, for now at any rate, the Philippines National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) is buying 2.65 million MT of rice, mostly from Vietnam and Thailand.
Persistent Drought in eastern and northeastern Syria regions has driven about 300,000 families to urban areas in search of work, a worrying massive population displacements in Middle East in recent history. Some villages have lost about half of their population to overcrowding cities. More than 80 percent of livestock on small and medium-sized farms have died as a result of a 75-percent rise in the cost of animal feed.
A dense plume of dust [sand] swept from Syria into Iraq on February 22, 2010. This photo-like image of the dust storm [sand storm] was captured by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite in the early afternoon (12:30 p.m. in Syria, 1:30 in Iraq). Distinct plumes rise from many point sources in the Syrian desert. Within a few kilometers, the plumes blend into a dense cloud that completely obscures eastern Syria and western Iraq. The veil of dust is thick enough that the ground beneath is not visible, which means that people on the ground are probably getting little light from the Sun. Image Credit: NASA/MODIS/Jeff Schmaltz: Caption: Holli Riebeek.
In China’s southwestern provinces of Yunnan and Guizhou, up to 4 million hectares of crops have been damaged by severe drought. Water shortages are affecting about 6 million people and 3.6 million livestock. Several of China’s northern provinces are also affected by the dry spell, with major signs of stress emerging in the farmlands after a 40-day drought.
At least 42 people were killed and 120 others injured when torrential rains ledt to massive mudslides on the Atlantic resort island of Madeira flooding the popular holiday destination and destroying about 240 homes and damaging many more. Roads and other public infrastructure were also damaged by the storm.
Heavy rains which triggered extensive flooding in the country’s southwest province cut off access to the city of Jerez, prompting the authorities to shut down the airport.
In Tenerife, Canary Islands (Spanish Territories), strong winds and violent downpour led to deluge across the island and left at leat ten thousand homes without electricity, according to the officials.
Related Links:
Posted in china, Collapse, drought and deluge, Philippines, Syria | Tagged: 2010 Disasters, collapsing cities, dynamics of collapse, Environment Disaster, Environmental Catastrophe, Extreme Rain Events, floods, Iraq, landslides, Mechanisms of Collapse, storms | 4 Comments »
Posted by edro on February 10, 2010
There can be little doubt the last Moai that was being carved on Easter Island was also the most expensive one in terms of its drain on the natural resources.
So expensive was the production, in fact, the sculptors did not proceed. Perhaps the last subculture was the largest unfinished sculpture, which would have stood about 21m (69 ft) tall, weighing a massive 270 tons.
Moai at Rano Raraku, Easter Island.
Alberto Giacometti’s sculpture “L’homme qui marche I” sold for more than $104 million, making it the most expensive sculpture ever paid for by human civilization. Photo Credit: Sotheby’s
The biggest Moai is dwarfed, however, by Giacometti’s life-size statue “L’homme qui marche I” [Walking Man I] when compared in terms of carbon footprint.
The Walking Man I was sold at an auction for a total price of $104,327,006. Allowing another $26 million dollars for previous sales and currency adjustments, so far $130million dollars have been paid and received to move the bronze sculpture from one ahu to another on Earth Island.
Previously, in How Much Carbon Dioxide Does Your Money Make the CASF members calculated the equivalent amount of carbon dioxide produced for each dollar you earn, or spend, at a global average of 584g of CO2/GDP dollar (2008 dollars).
Based on the above CO2 per dollar value, the Walking Man I has a carbon (CO2) footprint of 75,920 tons, or more than 883 times the weight of the biggest Moai discovered on Easter Island (it weighs 86 metric tons. FEWW.)
Related Links:
Posted in Carbon Dioxide, diminishing returns, Easter Island, First Wave of Collapsing Cities, L'homme qui marche I | Tagged: alien elites, anthropology, CO2 per dollar value, Collapse, Dominant minority, Earth Island, history, Moribund Civilizations, Sculpture, Societal collapse, sociology, Walking Man I | 1 Comment »
Posted by edro on February 8, 2010
Related Links:
Posted in die-off, human impact, human vulnerability, impact of Climate Change, Weather Patterns | Tagged: big freeze, climate change, deluge, drought, Extreme Rain | 11 Comments »
Posted by edro on December 27, 2009
Global warming is causing climate belts to shift toward the poles and to higher elevations. To keep pace with these changes, the average ecosystem will need to shift about a quarter mile each year, says a new study led by scientists at the Carnegie Institution. For some habitats, such as low-lying areas, climate belts are moving even faster, putting many species in jeopardy, especially where human development has blocked migration paths.
“Expressed as velocities, climate-change projections connect directly to survival prospects for plants and animals. These are the conditions that will set the stage, whether species move or cope in place,” says study co-author Chris Field, director of the Carnegie Institution’s Department of Global Ecology. Field is also a professor of biology and of environmental Earth system science at Stanford University and a senior fellow at Stanford’s Woods Institute for the Environment.
The research team, which included researchers from the Carnegie Institution, Stanford University, the California Academy of Sciences, and the University of California, Berkeley, combined data on current climate and temperature gradients worldwide with climate model projections for the next century to calculate the “temperature velocity” for different regions of the world. This velocity is a measure of how fast temperature zones are moving across the landscape as the planet warms―and how fast plants and animals will need to migrate to keep up.
EDRO Comments:
What the paper doesn’t mention, however, is the fact that the species “climbing a nearby mountain” in search of cooler temperatures would be climbing into an acid rain trap.
Forests and plants in mountain regions are heavily affected by “acid fog,” in addition to acid rain. At higher altitudes, the lingering fog, which is more acidic than rainfall, surrounds the plants, affecting the leaves ability to carry out photosynthesis and produce photosynthetic products.
The acid fog does causes slower growth, disease and death of the plants and forests. Examples of this include the many areas of the eastern U.S., especially high altitude forests of the Appalachian Mountains.
The researchers found that as a global average, the expected temperature velocity for the 21st century is 0.42 kilometers (0.26 miles) per year. But this figure varies widely according to topography and habitat. In areas of high topographic relief, where species can find cooler temperatures by climbing a nearby mountain, velocities are relatively low. In flatter regions, such as deserts, grasslands, and coastal areas, species will have to travel farther to stay in their comfort zone and velocities may exceed a kilometer per year.
EDRO Comments:
The other factor is scarcity of food for many species due to the soil profiles of mountainous areas. Upland areas often have thin soils and glaciated bedrock, profiles that make it extremely difficult for plant growth.
Can the planet’s ecosystems keep up? Plants and animals that can tolerate a wide range of temperatures may not need to move. But for the others, survival becomes a race. After the glaciers of the last Ice Age retreated, forests may have spread northward as quickly as a kilometer a year. But current ecosystems are unlikely to match that feat, the researchers say. Nearly a third of the habitats in the study have velocities higher than even the most optimistic plant migration estimates. Even more problematic is the extensive fragmentation of natural habitats by human development, which will leave many species with “nowhere to go,” regardless of their migration rates.
Protected areas such as nature reserves are generally too small to accommodate the expected habitat shifts. According to the study, less than 10% of protected areas globally will maintain current climate conditions within their boundaries 100 years from now. This will present a challenge for many species adapted to highly specific conditions, especially if migration to new habitats is blocked.
Scott Loarie, a postdoctoral fellow at the Carnegie Institution and lead author of the paper, points out that an appreciation of climate velocities could stimulate discussions about sound management for climate change, from the design of nature reserves to the planning of assisted migrations for affected species. He adds that it should also stimulate discussion about strategies for minimizing the amount of warming and thereby help slow climate velocity.
The paper was published in the 24 December, 2009, Nature. Contact: Chris Field cfield@ciw.edu
Related Links:
Posted in 286W, acid fog, acid rain, air pollution, climate change | Tagged: Appalachian Mountains, ecosystems collapse, human development, migration paths, Shrinking World | Leave a Comment »
EDRO 